Previous:
The euro/dollar closed up 26 points on Monday. It updated its session maximum to 1.1083 and from there it dropped to 1.1063. The euro/pound cross was siding with the euro bulls, so the euro felt much better against the dollar than the pound.
So the euro/pound on the hourly broke the 0.8375 resistance and a session rally to 0.8420 is expected from there. Because of this, the euro/dollar should test 1.11. In my forecast I’ve indicated a forming of an upward triangle.
Market Expectations:
It’s unlikely we’ll see a shift above 1.1115 since market participant attention this week is on the ECB meeting and Draghi holding a press conference. It’s expected that the ECB’s monetary policy will remain unchanged, but Draghi may cause a bit of a kafuffle on the market.
Day’s News (EET):
Technical Analysis:
Intraday forecast: minimum: 1.1058, maximum: 1.1100, close: 1.1058.
Euro/dollar rate on the hourly. Source: TradingView
The situation in Turkey has shifted from the headlines. The euro/dollar has restored to the LB. The pair is balanced on the hourly and the price is readying to diverge by at least 0.61% from the balance line.
I reckon we’ll see an upward triangle form for the pair today. Due to a rise in the euro/pound to 0.8420, I’m expecting to see a test of 1.1100/1.1103 from the euro dollar, with a subsequent recoil to 1.1060.
If the euro lowers the 1.1063 Asian minimum without any growth, expect the formation of a V-shaped pattern: a fall to 1.1047/45 and a return of the rate to 1.1078/80. The euro/dollar will sit in a sideways until the ECB convenes.
3 March, 11:00
2 March, 12:15
2 March, 10:07
1 March, 11:09
26 February, 10:58
There's a better website for you
A new exciting website with services that better suit your location has recently launched!
Sign up here to collect your 30% Welcome Bonus.