After making a run towards the $30k mark, a possibility cited in our crypto article last week, Bitcoin has since slumped.
Prices of the world’s largest crypto have now sunken below a widely-watched technical indicator, its 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
The 50-day SMA had supported prices of the world’s largest crypto since April 24th, only to come undone by recent woes.
Monday’s 4.8% drop was spurred on a halt on Bitcoin withdrawals at the world’s largest crypto trading platform.
Binance shut down Bitcoin withdrawals, twice in the space of 12 hours, due to a “congestion issue”.
From a technical perspective, at the time of writing, Bitcoin is testing support around the mid-$27,000 region, which had also supported prices late last month.
However, if the $27k psychologically-important line fails to hold, it’s a long way down to the $25k mark, which had offered notable resistance back in mid-February and mid-March.
Should the $27k support fail, Bitcoin bulls will be hoping the $25k region will turn from resistance to support to preserve its year-to-date gains, which currently stand at 67%.
Shifting our gaze back to the macroeconomic calendar …
The US inflation data due tomorrow (Wednesday, May 10th) is the marquee event of the week:
Ultimately, if these CPI prints exceed market expectations, that could prompt markets to pare back bets that the Fed will press pause on its rate hikes in June.
Such a shift in market expectations could be a further drag on Bitcoin prices, based on the thought that the Fed has to hike interest rates further to quell still-stubborn US inflation.
More rate hikes are intended to further drain liquidity out of global financial markets; and we know that greater liquidity is a great enabler of crypto gains.
Hence, the market narrative this week could be as follows: higher-than-expected inflation may prompt the Fed to hike again in June, which could dampen Bitcoin’s attempts to recover towards $30k.
It remains to be seen whether or not Bitcoin’s recent gains marks a sustained reversal from the series of lower highs and lower lows since mid-April, or whether it’s merely a false break.
30 May 13:30
Litecoin is boasting a month-to-date advance of 2.5% at the time of writing, faring better than the likes of Bitcoin, Ether, and other larger cryptos, which have dropped so far in May.
23 May 14:55
Bitcoin is now stuck in a downtrend, having posted a series a lower highs and lower lows so far this month.
16 May 15:14
According to Bloomberg data, after Bitcoin notches a 4-month winning run, what tends to follow is eye-watering: a 260% surge over the ensuing 12 months. However, the crypto world may first have to overcome some near-term risk events:
2 May 13:24
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