Alpari Market Analysis

Daily Market Analysis and Forex News

Bitcoin consolidates near 50-period SMA

Bitcoin consolidates near 50-period SMA

Bitcoin is hovering near the 50-period SMA (~42883) amid the higher-than-expected (53.4 vs 52 expected) US’ services PMI reading.

A rise in the PMI reading may reduce the chances of the much-anticipated rates cuts in the near future.

Higher for longer interest rates may affect the investors’ appetite for riskier assets such as bitcoin.

Currently, the market is pricing in a 16.5% chance of a rate cut in March (64.0% - 1 month ago).


On the ETF side …

Despite concerns over the recent wave of withdrawals, the newly launched spot BTC ETFs have managed to attract a total of $7.7 billion in inflows, offsetting $6 billion in outflows.

Recently released data also underscores a slowdown in the outflow momentum over the past few weeks.


From a technical perspective …

  • BTC trading above 21 and 100-period SMAs underscores the potential for an upward trend
  • Current RSI position (~51.83) highlights the market’s current state of uncertainty as investors await further catalysts (e.g. macroeconomic readings, ETF data, SEC activity)
  • Key resistance is positioned at 50-period SMA (~42879). A break above this level could propel the price higher towards the $44000 round number
  • An immediate support level is positioned at 21-period SMA (~41876). A break below it may pull bitcoin lower towards the 100-SMA (~40547), which is just above the psychologically important $40000 level

Want to practice some trading?

Read more

Ready to trade with real money?

Open account
Join us

Gateway to global opportunity

Join more than 1 million traders worldwide using Alpari as a gateway to a better life.